Scenario analysis is a process for identifying and assessing a potential range of outcomes of future events under conditions of uncertainty. In the case of climate change, climate-related scenario analysis allows an issuer to explore and develop an understanding of how physical risks and transition risks of climate change may affect its businesses, strategies and financial performance over time.
Under the ESG Reporting Code, an issuer shall use climate-related scenario analysis commensurate with its circumstances to assess its climate resilience, i.e. its capacity to adjust to climate-related changes, developments or uncertainties. An issuer shall disclose how a climate-related scenario analysis was carried out, and provide information about inputs used (e.g. source of scenarios, time horizons and scope of operations used in the analysis), key assumptions made, etc.